The Ministry of Transport Predicted the Outflow of Russian Pilots Abroad
As stated in the draft comprehensive program for the development of the air transport industry until 2030, about 70 Russian pilots are looking for work in foreign airlines every month. The authorities plan to cover the possible shortage of pilots at the expense of specialized educational institutions, however, experts note that in the event of a decline in traffic, it will be impossible to employ graduates. The head of the executive committee of the Council for Professional Qualifications, Anastasia Miroshnichenko, believes that the problem can be solved by teaching graduates according to the target set.
Meanwhile, in a pessimistic forecast, the Ministry of Transport allows for a decrease in traffic from 111 million in 2021 to 58.2 million people in 2025 and to 85.7 million passengers in 2030. According to the Air Transport Professional Qualifications Council, by 2025, about half of the pilots and other industry personnel may be left without work. According to the latest data from the council, about 1,500 line pilots are idle, which is 13% of their total number, and 1,300 flight attendants (5%). According to Igor Deldyuzhov, the president of the Sheremetyevo trade union of flight personnel, 50 specialists already now have neither guarantees of employment, nor promises of compensation for downtime.
Another problem may be the decline in the traditionally high level of income of aviation personnel, especially flight crews. Before the pandemic, line pilots received 300-500 thousand rubles depending on the flight time, while now the decline in industry revenues ranges from 10% to 50-60%. Aeroflot pilot Andrey Litvinov clarified that without compensating for shortfalls in income, it would be impossible to maintain the flight crew, and pilots would begin to find jobs in the CIS countries and Turkey.