OREANDA-NEWS. February 13, 2014. According to the preliminary macroeconomic forecast of the Ministry of economy for 2014-2017 the prerequisites for economic growth are the improvement of financial and economic context at the global level; more intensive export promotion; development and state support of private sector enterprises; implementation of structural reforms, development of the real sector of the economy, promotion of prudent fiscal policy and the implementation of reforms aimed at the reduction of ineffective public expenditure; ensuring financial stability by maintaining low inflation and exchange rate stability, etc.

According to forecasts of Ministry of economy, GDP growth in the next four years will be provided with the annual growth of industrial output - by 6.5% and agricultural production - by 1.5%, respectively. According to the forecasts, the share of industrial sector in GDP will grow from 14.1% to 14.5% (by 2017), the construction industry - from 3.5% to 3.7%, domestic trade - from 13.5% to 14%. Final consumption will grow from 110,6% to 114,2%, the formation of the share capital - from 21.6% to 24%, and the negative export balance - from 32.2% to 38.2%. Export will increase annually by 8.5%, and imports by 7.2%, investment in the long-term material assets - by 6.7%.

Annual inflation in 2014 will make 5.6%, and in the next three years it will make 5%. Predictions of currency fluctuations in this period range from 13.3 lei to 14,01 lei for one USD. The average nominal wage in 2017 will grow by 31.5%- up to 5525 lei, while the Salary Fund will increase by 33.3%- to 42 billion lei, or 29% of GDP.

The employed population will annually increase by 0.2%, and the number of the employed will vary from 625 thousand to 634 thousand people. Labor productivity is expected to grow annually by 4%.