OREANDA-NEWS.

Recent Economic Highlights

The inflation, growth and the interest rate outlook for India has recently been updated following the Modi government budget and subsequent inflationary reports. On the inflation front, the Modi government has formalised an inflation target with the Reserve Bank of India, setting the target for financial year through March 2017 and subsequent years at 4%, plus or minus 2%. India’s February consumer price growth accelerated to 5.37%, after a revised 5.19% increase in January. Meanwhile February wholesale prices fell 2.06% year-on-year, the most since at least 2005, and January industrial output rose 2.6%. On the growth front, the Modi government forecasts FY15 GDP growth at 7.4%, FY16 at 8.1%-8.5%. Meanwhile, the IMF sees India’s GDP rising 7.2% in year through March, and 7.5% the following year, below government estimates. The Finance Minister Mr. Arun Jaitley has stated that interest rates in India have to “moderate”.

SGX stocks with India business

As noted in the Market Update - Five stocks with India business average 6.2% YTD gain, Singapore Exchange (SGX) lists a number of stocks that have geographically segmented revenue from India in recent Annual Reports. Of this group of stocks, 15 segmented more than one-tenth of their revenue to India or South Asia in recent annual statements.

Together the 15 stocks have averaged a 10.8% total return in the 2015 year through to the 18 March close. The four stocks that have segmented more than half their revenue to India have averaged a 7.8% gain in the year thus far. The wider average of 10.8% is skewed due to Catalist stock Junma Tyre Cord Company gaining 197% in the year thus far. Junma Tyre Cord Company saw its stock move from 6.26 cents to 16.75 cents following an exit offer by Yang Cong to acquire an additional 21.6% stake in Junma Tyre Cord Company for S\$3.2M.

Yang Cong exit offer to acquire 21.6% stake in Junma Tyre Cord Company

Yang Cong made an exit offer to acquire additional 21.6% stake in Junma Tyre Cord Company for SGD 3.2 million in cash on 10 March 2015. Yang Cong owns a 0.86% stake and will acquire additional 15.9 million shares at the price of SGD 0.20 per share. On completion of the offer, Junma Tyre Cord Company will be delisted. As noted in the announcement details on SGX StockFacts the offer is subject to SGX agreeing to the application by Junma Tyre Cord Company to delist from SGX, shareholders approval of Junma Tyre Cord Company and the delisting resolution not being voted against by 10% or more of the total number of shares held by the shareholders of Junma Tyre Cord Company.

One third of the 15 stocks are listed on the Catalist board. The Catalist Board is a proven platform for small and new companies that are slated to grow their business in future years. Catalist caters to the capital formation requirements of fast-growing enterprises. There are no quantitative entry criteria required by SGX and companies seeking a primary listing on Catalist must be brought to list by approved Sponsors via an Initial Public Offering (IPO). Thus, Sponsors determine the suitability of applicants to be listed.  The Catalist stocks are OSIM International, WE Holdings, Adventus Holdings, Junma Tyre Cord Company and International Press Softcom.

The 15 stocks that represent 11 different industries as defined by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®) include Commodity Chemicals, Healthcare Facilities, Real Estate Operating Companies and Technology Distributors.

Details of the 15 stocks are listed in the table below and sorted by the percentage of revenue reported to India.

Company Name SGX Code Mkt Cap (S\$ M) % Price Change YTD % Change - Div Adj. YTD % Change - Dividend Adj. [1 Year] % Change - Dividend Adj. [3 Years] Geographic Segments: India  - % of Revenue
Indiabulls Properties Investment Trust F3EU 358 -10.4 -10.4 -20.6 -31.7 100.0
Religare Health Trust RF1U 846 6.5 6.5 37.0 - 100.0
Ascendas India Trust CY6U 856 13.4 13.4 25.8 31.6 100.0
Sarine Technologies U77 992 15.4 15.4 22.8 201.0 79.3
Smartflex Holdings* 5RE 25 14.3 14.3 150.0 42.9 54.7
Junma Tyre Cord Company* 5TF 14 197.0 197.0 276.9 -41.5 49.9
OSIM International O23 1600 4.6 4.6 -18.8 89.0 40.4
Meghmani Organics M30 88 -36.1 -34.7 102.1 106.7 38.4
Adventus Holdings* 5EF 56 -16.1 -16.1 18.2 8.3 31.0
International Press Softcom* 571 9 -27.6 -27.6 -30.0 -34.4 23.9
WE Holdings* 5RJ 20 -12.5 -12.5 -61.1 65.5 22.3
Samudera Shipping Line S56 151 16.7 16.7 107.4 90.4 14.5
Cordlife Group P8A 249 7.9 9.0 -20.4 - 13.3
Sembcorp Marine S51 6070 -10.7 -10.7 -24.3 -39.3 11.9
Longcheer Holdings L28 28 -2.4 -2.4 34.3 215.2 11.8
Average:     10.7 10.8 40.0 54.5  
Source: S&P Capital IQ, SGX StockFacts *Listed on Catalist
Company Name SGX Code Year Founded Primary Industry P/BV [Latest] (x) Most Recent Trade Price (SGD) 52 Week High Price (SGD) 52 Week Low Price  (SGD)
Indiabulls Properties Investment Trust F3EU 2008 Real Estate Operating Companies 0.3 0.095 0.145 0.090
Religare Health Trust RF1U 2011 Healthcare Facilities 1.2 1.070 1.140 0.830
Ascendas India Trust CY6U 2007 Real Estate Operating Companies 1.5 0.930 0.950 0.720
Sarine Technologies U77 1988 Industrial Machinery 9.3 2.850 3.250 2.160
Smartflex Holdings* 5RE 2003 Semiconductors 1.2 0.200 0.225 0.070
Junma Tyre Cord Company* 5TF 1991 Commodity Chemicals 1.0 0.196 0.205 0.049
OSIM International O23 1980 Specialty Stores 3.7 2.070 2.200 1.700
Meghmani Organics M30 1986 Commodity Chemicals 0.7 0.182 0.680 0.173
Adventus Holdings* 5EF 2003 Technology Distributors 2.1 0.026 0.036 0.024
International Press Softcom* 571 1968 IT Consulting and Other Services 0.2 0.021 0.021 0.062
WE Holdings* 5RJ 1986 Technology Distributors 0.5 0.007 0.019 0.005
Samudera Shipping Line S56 1993 Marine 0.5 0.280 0.300 0.133
Cordlife Group P8A 2001 Healthcare Services 2.0 0.960 1.270 0.825
Sembcorp Marine S51 1963 Construction Machinery and Heavy Trucks 2.1 2.910 4.160 2.850
Longcheer Holdings L28 2002 Communications Equipment 0.6 0.080 0.350 0.058
Source: S&P Capital IQ, SGX StockFacts *Listed on Catalist